WILL RESOLVE "YES" if Chengdu's lockdown remains by 2022/09/30 23:59 (GMT+8).
WILL RESOLVE "NO" if Chengdu says lockdown to ease before above deadline.
Source will be confirmed according to Mayor/Vice Mayor/CDC at Chengdu's official news briefings.
Chinese metropolis of Chengdu locks down 21 million residents
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/01/china/china-covid-sichuan-lockdown-intl-hnk/index.html
The Chinese metropolis of Chengdu locked down its 21 million residents to contain a Covid-19 outbreak, a seismic move in the country’s vast Western region that has largely been untouched by the virus. Chengdu is the biggest city to be locked down since Shanghai’s bruising two-month crisis earlier this year, reflecting the widening disruption in China’s continued Covid Zero battle.
The lockdown comes as the city reported 157 cases for Wednesday. Total infections in Chengdu in the current outbreak have exceeded 700, according to numbers released by the local health commission. Due to the extremely hot weather in the city, frequent contacts among people in indoor entertainment venues including water parks led to increased transmission of the virus, Yang Xiaoguang, head of Chengdu’s health commission told reporters during a press conference on Tuesday.
Families can send one person out once per day for groceries, while people can leave the city with a negative test result within the past 24 hours.
The move -- which will upend the lives of millions of people and businesses, with repercussions for China’s economy and beyond -- shows the country’s commitment to the Covid Zero approach espoused by President Xi Jinping, despite the disruption it’s causing.
VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity) times. Now, place your bets.
Reference (Lockdown period recored, not all cities listed):
1. Chengdu locks down 21.2 million people as Chinese cities battle Covid-19
2. Shanghai’s Two-Month Lockdown Is Still Rippling Through Economy
3. Wuhan was on lockdown for 76 days. Now life is returning — slowly
https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2020/04/world/wuhan-coronavirus-cnnphotos/
4. Resorts reopen restaurants and shops as Macau lockdown ends
Sep 2, 5:06pm:
Daily cases can check from local CDC (Chinese) Sichuan Province Center For Disease Control and Prevention: https://www.sccdc.cn/view.aspx?id=026
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Sept.12: City officials say they are planning to lift restrictions in several areas of the city starting on Monday. These areas contain approx 11.1% of Chengdu's population according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chengdu Colored admin divisions as below.
As host China confirmed roster for Chengdu 2022 World Table Tennis Championships final (Sept.30 - Oct. 09) last Sunday, Chengdu government seems planning a schedule for the lockdown to ease targeting end of Sept.
Please note that if it goes to partial-lockdown and numbers of affected areas keep dropping until it's < 5% of Chengdu's population affceted before end of September, I will resolve this to NO.
Sept.11: Things getting interesting here. The Chinese Table Tennis Association (CTTA) on Sept.11 announced the Chinese team's list for the upcoming Chengdu 2022 World Team Table Tennis Championships Finals. The table tennis team worlds will be held in Chengdu, southwest China's Sichuan Province between September 30 and October 9. Meaning this event won't be postponed by the lockdown?
Sept.8: China's Chengdu city extends COVID lockdown in most of its districts
Sept.5: More than 70 Chinese cities rush to lockdown in show of loyalty to Xi's 'zero-Covid' strategy
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/05/china/china-covid-lockdown-74-cities-intl-hnk/index.html
@stormtk293 Seems clear that the benefit of Zero Covid policy is the permanent ability to lock an entire metropolitan area in their homes arbitrarily and indefinitely. It is simply too easy to start a small cluster of cases whenever is politically necessary to shutdown any/all legitimate protest of government policy. I wonder, did they let people evacuate their homes in Chengdu during/after the earthquake the other day?
@BTE You’re right. That’s why I think there is a chance these lockdown will last until Xi took his 3rd term end of Oct.
Unfortunately ppl still lockdown during the earthquake. Outcry as Chinese lockdown traps residents during earthquake
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-62804213.amp
Sept.4: China Extends Lockdown in Areas of Chengdu, Expands Testing
@BTE Wuhan (population 8,592,000) was on lockdown for 76 days in 2020. Shanghai (population 28,517,000) was on lockdown for 2 months this April. Macau (population 674,000) was on lockdown for 20 days this July.
FYI Chengdu population 9,479,000
@stormtk293 It says 21.2 million in lockdown in first footnote, so does that include migrant workers that aren’t Chengdu residents? Like are people trapped in their office or factory indefinitely if they want to continue working?
@BTE YOU'RE CORRECT, Chengdu population 9,479,000 means local residents only. The “21.2 million” includes both migrant workers and local residents. Same situation happened in other major lockdown megacity. e.g Shanghai's tow months lockdown impacted 25 million people in total.
@stormtk293 WOW! That is mind blowing. NYC, LA, Chicago and Houston COMBINED aren't that big!!!
@BTE Hope you find blow helpful.
1. Zero-COVID WIKI
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero-COVID
2. Why China Is Only Country Sticking To Zero-Covid Policy With Lockdowns
3. China waits on ‘miracle’ to end zero-Covid policy
https://www.ft.com/content/09f43ab0-74b9-4237-9080-a12986db87c8
@stormtk293 Do you worry about the lack of natural immunity in China? And why don't they just approve the mRNA vaccines and force everyone to get them?!? I can't figure out why they wouldn't do that other than maybe not wanting to undermine the ability to use mistrust of the US as a political tool. But they could just get the German made one then!! I can't see a single reason not to do it. Do people there even know mRNA vaccines exist?!?
@BTE Yes i bet on this market as well.
Mainland China has administered at least 3,409,697,000 doses of COVID vaccines so far. Assuming every person needs 2 doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated about 122% of the country’s population. But yes i'm afraid that China is still lack of natural immunity since their vaccines proved not that effective compare to mRNA vaccines. Good news is Covid has become less dangerous than it was which gives China a good exuse to slow down the mRNA vaccines' import.
Chinese people know about mRNA, they just don't think it's a necessary to have one. I think it's a bit hard for me to explain the whole logic here but bear in mind that Chinese governament is not willing to spend money (US$) on keeping his people safe. And therefore Chinese people were 'educated' to believe that their governament was really making efforts to protect them from Covid.
Everything in China is political. And sadly, trust governament & trust the communist party is the only 'politically correct'.
@BTE Yes. Lockdown started from 2020-01-23 ends 2020-04-08.
All COVID-19 lockdown China cities listed for your reference:
@BTE Wuhan is not on lockdown right now, 15 cases reported by Wuhan CDC yesterday. No sign of a possible lockdown but obviously they’re tightening the covid policy, local citizens are forced to do a covid test every two days (last week it’s 1 test every 5 days for all)