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MANIFOLD
How many seats will PPP win in 2024 Korean election?
10
Ṁ475Ṁ4.7k
resolved Apr 11
100%94%
~100
5%
101~125
0.5%
126~150
0.2%
151~175
0.1%
176~200
0.1%
200~
0.1%
Party no longer exists

Number of seats won in the National Assembly by People's Power Party.

If they merely change their name, I will consider it to be the same party.

Note this does not include People's Future Party, or any other party than PPP themselves.

Market context
Politics
South Korea
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This was quite the rollercoaster 😃

@JoshuaWilkes What happened at the end? Did someone misread the criteria? 🤣

@ssamt i read report that said PPP had 109 seats so I bought up that option, i didn't know the complicated details

@ssamt I think a lot of media were reporting the PFP seats as PPP

opened a Ṁ750 YES at 80% order

@Bayesian limit order up at 80%

I think the ~ symbol is typically used for approximate. What you want is > and <

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