What is your prior for the ratio of attention to Greenland to attention vs. attention to Venezuela?
16
Never closes
>1
0.75-1
0.5-0.75
0.3-0.5
0.2-0.3
0.1-0.2
0.05-0.1
0.03-0.05
0.015-0.03
0-0.015
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Without looking at the data, what is your prior for the ratio of global attention on the events in/concerning Greenland vs. the amount of global attention on the events in/concerning Venezuela? The data source used is Google Trends on Worldwide settings, comparing the peak daily index-values in the last 30 days. So for example, 0.5 would mean that Greenland received 50% of the attention at its peak as Venezuela did at its peak on Google Trends, over the last 30 days.
Let's say the intervals are right-inclusive and left-exclusive.
Please do not look at the data before answering this question (and do not comment about the actual data).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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