The Manifold user needs to have made >100 trades, have been around for more than 1 month, and have more than 1,000 in profit at the time of record. These stats should all be available on the user's achievements page. Bots are allowed. Resolves based on the figure quoted in the calibration page on their profile (newly added). Resolves N/A if the methodology used by that page is changed substantively. Resolves based on the highest anyone can find.
Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the highest Sharpe ratio found at market close (not at the time when a user is first discovered/reported).
Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Inactive users are allowed - there is no requirement that users be currently active to qualify for consideration.
Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market may resolve N/A if major issues are found in the Sharpe ratio feature or if Manifold makes changes to how it works.
1,000People are also trading
Wow it must feel so good to be right all the time.
Where's the sister market for lowest?
What's @Tumbles at?
@aigrette Good to know! The same thing happened to another account that was above 7.4 the last time I checked, despite that account's last activity being over a year ago.
@aigrette I'm considering N/Aing if there are major issues found in the feature, or if they end up making some changes to how it works