
Before 2026, will any US state introduce legislation regulating the genetic screening of embryos?
Before 2026, will any US state introduce legislation regulating the genetic screening of embryos?
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130Ṁ1892026
31%
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On the Wikipedia page for preimplantation genetic diagnosis (PGD) it is stated that: "To date, no state has implemented laws directly pertaining to PGD, therefore leaving researchers and clinicians to abide by guidelines set by the professional associations."
I will resolve the question to YES if aware of any US state introducing legislation that criminalizes the rejection of embryos (whether through abortion or non-implantation) in certain cases such as sex selection, 'savior siblings,' 'designer babies,' etc. At the closing time, I will provide a preliminary decision in the comments and await any potential corrections.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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