Will Twitter have an unprecedented outage by modern Twitter standards (1 day or longer) by January 1st 2024?
31
610Ṁ7128resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is based off this poll from Dan Luu: https://twitter.com/altluu/status/1590993677715148802
"unprecedented outage" here specifically means 1 day or longer, where >= 50% of U.S. users or >= 25% of global users find Twitter to be unusable. The market will resolve if Dan believes there has such an outage or, if he doesn't comment, whether I believe that.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ125 | |
| 2 | Ṁ57 | |
| 3 | Ṁ49 | |
| 4 | Ṁ44 | |
| 5 | Ṁ34 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Twitter suffer an unrecoverable system failure by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Twitter collapse by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Twitter/X be shutdown permanently by the end of 2027
12% chance
Will Twitter (X) shut down before 2027
14% chance
Will I return to Twitter for at least three consecutive days in 2025?
51% chance
Will Twitter (X) Go Bankrupt Before 2030?
25% chance
Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027?
20% chance