When will Google announce that Fuchsia OS will replace Android as the default OS on its consumer phones?
8
Ṁ1.1kṀ6072036
54%
gets cancelled
47%
before 2035
46%
before 2034
45%
before 2031
45%
before 2032
45%
before 2033
44%
before 2029
44%
before 2030
37%
before 2028
24%
before 2027
6%
before 2026
might add more years if necessary
Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The announcement must be for at least one consumer phone that uses Fuchsia and must be made by Google (not a random small company releasing an experimental phone that very few people will use/know of).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Google provide security and Android version updates for the Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro until October 2030?
72% chance
Will Fuchsia ship in a non-Google product this decade?
13% chance
Will google stop making phones within the next 5 or 6 years?
15% chance
Will Google shutdown Android XR before 2035?
84% chance
Will Android still be a Google product in 2035?
79% chance
When will Apple replace Google as the default search engine on Safari? (iPhone or MacBook)
Will Android be Open source (truly, properly) before 2028?
8% chance
Will Android still use the Linux kernel by 2035?
68% chance
Google releases Pixel laptop running Android by end of 2027?
14% chance
Will Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Sort by:
@rayman2000 there should be an announcement of at least one consumer phone that uses fuschia.
I think it has to be by Google? To avoid a random small company releasing an experimental phone that very few people will use/know of.
@sli Then I think the title would be better as "on a consumer phone" or "on its consumer phones". Because they will never announce this for consumer phones in general I think.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Google provide security and Android version updates for the Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro until October 2030?
72% chance
Will Fuchsia ship in a non-Google product this decade?
13% chance
Will google stop making phones within the next 5 or 6 years?
15% chance
Will Google shutdown Android XR before 2035?
84% chance
Will Android still be a Google product in 2035?
79% chance
When will Apple replace Google as the default search engine on Safari? (iPhone or MacBook)
Will Android be Open source (truly, properly) before 2028?
8% chance
Will Android still use the Linux kernel by 2035?
68% chance
Google releases Pixel laptop running Android by end of 2027?
14% chance
Will Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
10% chance