This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.

I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).

• Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Vance’s Role Excluded

  • Vance's status is not a factor: Events including or related to Vance (such as him becoming president) will not be considered in resolving this market.

  • Focus remains solely on Trump: The resolution will depend exclusively on whether Trump's syphilitic dementia is no longer obscured, as outlined in the market question and description.