Will, as Trump acts more and more outrageously, they "use the 25th to replace him with Vance" who will be "even worse"?
Basic
9
Ṁ2362029
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
up to 50% for using the 25th, up to 50% for Vance being even worse
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will they "14th Amendment the Convicted Felon out and put Vance in"?
10% chance
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Will JD Vance "betray" Donald Trump?
40% chance
If Trump gets elected, will Vance get fired?
13% chance
Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?
9% chance
Will at least 25% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?
84% chance
Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
9% chance
Will JD Vance be impeached and removed during Trump's second term?
6% chance
Will Vance go on Red Scare?
9% chance