Will all Manifold features be available to the majority of EU users at the end of 2024?
Plus
14
Ṁ6914Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
With Manifold planning to introduce real money payouts, is European law strong enough to protect the citizenry from the dangers involved in such an enterprise?
Resolves YES if more than half of EU-based users have access to all manifold functionalities on December 31st, 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@admissions Ok. Then that seem like a much more likely case for YES than actually having real money cash-out in the majority of EU
@Simon74fe Yes I think so .. I think it would be pretty catastrophic for Manifold .. they will be at the end of the financial runway and will have spent the remaining time preparing for the real money pivot .. I think it's extremely likely they do implement the pivot, and when they do, it's extremely unlikely to be unrestricted in the EU
Related questions
Related questions
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
52% chance
Will any company of at least 100 employees be using Manifold to make important decisions by the end of 2024?
24% chance
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024, according to Manifold users?
Will Manifold allow you to combine markets by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
28% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance
Will firstuserhere return to using Manifold before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will I be accepted as a Manifold partner by the end of 2024?
3% chance