A judge ruled Monday that independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s name should not appear on New York’s ballot, saying that he falsely claimed a New York residence on nominating petitions despite living in California.

The scion of the famed Democratic political dynasty vowed to appeal, dismissing the ruling as partisan. If the judge’s decision is upheld, it would not only keep Kennedy off the ballot in New York but could also lead to challenges in other states where he used an address in New York City’s suburbs to gather signatures.

The above is an excerpt from the AP from Monday, August 12th. RFK Jr. and his representatives have implied that they will formally appeal the decision. If so, will they succeed?

Market will be resolved on or before Election Day. Any appeals or actions taken after then for any reason will not count.

Resolves Yes if the ruling in NY is successfully overturned via appeal (or any other form of legal challenge). All other scenarios - including RFK not filing a formal appeal/challenge at all - resolve No.