at the time of market creation I'm in the #1 spot in my league with 13 days remaining. I have a few brazen bets that I'm too stubborn to back out of, choosing instead to go on vibes (and hopes and enduring anxiety) that they will resolve in my favour at the end of the year.
still, despite absurdist behaviour (why am I like this?) will I manage to close 2023 in the top position in the Gold League?
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ32 | |
| 2 | Ṁ30 | |
| 3 | Ṁ29 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
People are also trading
@mattyb one rat says yes, another rat says no, and I'm just here doubling down on theoreticals as usual 😉
oh god oh god oh god
@Joshua why didn't I listen to you?
who would have thought putting all my eggs in an unhinged antisemite's basket would backfire?
@Joshua selling these bets gave me "how am I gonna pay my rent?" anxiety and I had to remind myself it's not real money 😅
@Joshua okay but honest question: where's the best place to track DAU and, given both Elon and Zuck have reason to tell as positive a story as possible, how can we be sure an integrous (or any) report will come? I see a lot of articles and references but not anything concrete?
Yeah there's not a great source to be regularly checking, but Meta is a public company so they can't just make up DAU numbers. And if Elon exaggerates DAUs then that makes the market even less likely to resolve yes. Metaculus is at 1%.
say no more 🏃
(also, it's an election year - I know twitter is down in DAU this year but I think the election run up alone will raise it)