Trump + Elon interview prop bets
528
8.1kṀ390k
resolved Aug 13
Resolved
YES
They mention a possible position for Elon in Trump's administration.
Resolved
N/A
Any third person speaks during stream (live, nothing prerecorded)
Resolved
NO
Musk has to repeat a question after Trump dodges it
Resolved
NO
Trump or Elon say the word "communist" referring to any US Democrat
Resolved
NO
Anyone says “Vaccine”
Resolved
NO
@realdonaldtrump tweets about the interview the day of (US Pacific time zone), after it happens [only this @ and only on Twitter/X will count]
Resolved
NO
"Taiwan" is mentioned.
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk says "Texas"
Resolved
NO
“dangerous people” mentioned
Resolved
NO
Trump mispronounces Elon's name (first or last) or says "Twitter" instead of X
Resolved
NO
Someone says "this administration"
Resolved
NO
"Woke" said at least 3 times
Resolved
NO
Trump says "X" (referring to the site)
Resolved
NO
"Gavin Newsom" mentioned
Resolved
N/A
Trump will *not* wear a tie
Resolved
NO
Elon suggests laws/ideas to restrict the civil rights of LGBTQ individuals
Resolved
NO
Trump uses 3 different nicknames for Kamala Harris
Resolved
NO
Trump uses a nickname for Tim Walz
Resolved
NO
Trump mentions bitcoin or crypto/cryptocurrency
Resolved
NO
Trump gives Elon a compliment on his appearance

Yesterday on Truth Social, Donald Trump made this announcement:

this market is for prop bets on this conversation.

general rules:

Add your own answers, but please be as clear and objective as possible. I'll likely n/a vibes-based responses or ask for clarity to make them more concrete where possible. I will also n/a responses that are too difficult to track or resolve, or ones that are too obvious (if they'll definitely resolve Yes or No). Feel free to comment below if you want me to add the option for you.

For swift resolution, add proof or timestamps in your comment. Reply as a comment on the option you want resolved to make resolution clearer.)

The date of the conversation is said to be August 12th - I will extend as necessary if it's delayed.

For words/mentions, the following apply:

The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:

  • Plurals (e.g., "cat" and "cats") are considered equivalent.

  • Possessives, e.g. "Trump's" counts as an instance of "Trump" (but not vice versa)

  • Contractions count the same as the words they represent e.g., "don't" is equivalent to "do not"

Some examples of words which are not considered the same (not an exhaustive list!)

  • Abbreviations, e.g. USA is not the same as "United States of America"

  • Verb tenses, e.g. running vs ran are not the same

  • Other word forms like America and American are not the same

  • Parts of words, e.g. "Obamacare" does not count as an instance of "Obama"

Additional notes for clarity:

  • Any usage counts regardless of context.

  • Different meanings of a word, e.g. Apple the company or apple the fruit count as the same word

  • Different capitalizations e.g., "Apple" and "apple" are counted as the same word.

  • Different spellings of a word due to regional variations are counted as the same word (e.g., "color" and "colour," "organize" and "organise")

    • It's a verbal conversation so this shouldn't matter but just for clarity. E.g. in case someone spells the word out, the spelling wouldn't matter.

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