on June 13 (local time in Iran), Israel struck multiple sites in Tehran. the Israeli government and IDF have released statements to say these attacks were preliminary, and that they intend to continue striking targets related to Iran's nuclear program and their military.

will a statement from Trump (video, audio, or social media post from his official account) directly attribute the escalation to Biden?

only resolves yes if Trump mentions Biden by name and makes a statement either that something Biden did (or didn't do), or that he himself is the reason the escalation occurred. the statement doesn't need to be specifically about the actions on June 13th but can be about any subsequent escalation or military actions taken by either country against the other. only statements made after the June 13th strikes will count, and only statements directly from Trump - I will not resolve to mentions in articles (either "a source/s" or a person by name, claiming Trump blamed Biden behind closed doors).

since this may be a nuanced resolution, I will not bet in this market. please provide proof for resolution.

closes in 2 weeks.

• Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that a well-known nickname for Biden, such as 'Sleepy Joe', will be considered as mentioning him by name for the purpose of resolution.

• Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A well-known nickname for Biden, such as 'Sleepy Joe', will be considered as mentioning him by name for the purpose of resolution.

• Update 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A statement will count as blame even if it is framed as Trump taking credit for a positive outcome. This applies if, in taking credit, he also attributes the necessity of his intervention to a failure or inaction by Biden.