on June 13 (local time in Iran), Israel struck multiple sites in Tehran. the Israeli government and IDF have released statements to say these attacks were preliminary, and that they intend to continue striking targets related to Iran's nuclear program and their military.
will a statement from Trump (video, audio, or social media post from his official account) directly attribute the escalation to Biden?
only resolves yes if Trump mentions Biden by name and makes a statement either that something Biden did (or didn't do), or that he himself is the reason the escalation occurred. the statement doesn't need to be specifically about the actions on June 13th but can be about any subsequent escalation or military actions taken by either country against the other. only statements made after the June 13th strikes will count, and only statements directly from Trump - I will not resolve to mentions in articles (either "a source/s" or a person by name, claiming Trump blamed Biden behind closed doors).
since this may be a nuanced resolution, I will not bet in this market. please provide proof for resolution.
closes in 2 weeks.
Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that a well-known nickname for Biden, such as 'Sleepy Joe', will be considered as mentioning him by name for the purpose of resolution.
Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A well-known nickname for Biden, such as 'Sleepy Joe', will be considered as mentioning him by name for the purpose of resolution.
Update 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A statement will count as blame even if it is framed as Trump taking credit for a positive outcome. This applies if, in taking credit, he also attributes the necessity of his intervention to a failure or inaction by Biden.
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lol (idk how it can be both a leak, and fake?)
They didn't brief the dems before the strike, they did after. Here's an excerpt from an Axios piece.
Zoom in: The administration sources say they're planning to limit posting on CAPNET, a system the administration uses to share classified information with Congress.
The DIA's assessment on the Iran bombings was put on CAPNET late Monday. The next afternoon, CNN and then the New York Times reported snippets of the assessment.
The early media reports indicated that Iran's nuclear program had been set back only by a matter of months, instead of being "obliterated."
Zoom out: Democrats in Congress already were upset at the administration for refusing to brief some members before the bombings, and the White House's plans to further restrict the sharing of classified information are likely to provoke a fresh round of criticism.
Administration officials are unmoved, however.
"Go figure: Almost as soon as we put the information on CAPNET, it leaks," an administration source said. "There's no reason to do this again."
https://www.axios.com/2025/06/25/iran-bombing-intelligence-trump-congress
@shankypanky This is something he's proud of, not upset about. The voters are generally happy with how this turned out (even kirk etc.) no boots on the ground, no lives lost, no regime change, no protracted war. Why would he blame anyone?!
@FergusArgyll tbc, it's still blame if he says something like "I'm such a hero, everything is so great because of me, look how it all turned out. I had to come in and save the day - and I did it so effortlessly! - because Sleepy Joe, the worst president in our nation's history, couldn't even put Iran in their place in his entire four years in office. I did it in 12 days!"
@shankypanky I've been a hater since the tariffs but this won me back a little bit. Genuinely impressive that he pulled this of (if it lasts).
Trump has directly contradicted Vance's commentary this morning regarding the purpose of the US attacks via a recent post on Truth Social. all this comes amidst news that Iran delivered a message to Trump (via intermediary) at the G7, vowing to activate sleeper cells in the US if the US military attacked.
@Marnix yeah I definitely think it's still in the realm of possibility. Trump could easily blend his bragging/taking credit with his White Knight delusions (something like "I'm always stuck cleaning up the messes that Sleepy Joe left for me" etc)
