the original market and details can be found here - it currently sits at 28% and has gone to UMA for resolution dispute
to date, Barron nor the Trump family have made a statement. the market is for whether Barron was involved in the creation of $DJT, which means he must have participated back in April when the coin was established.
given this unprecedented plot twist, I'll have to decide what (if anything) to do with this market based on Polymarket's announcement. notably, this tweet is from ~5hr ago but we don't have any updates as yet; I'd been waiting to see what comes of it before making any decisions here. the market in question did, in fact, resolve No based on UMA voting.
@Joshua's market below will resolve once it's clear what actions Polymarket is taking in total as a result of this outcome
and @strutheo has one about a side bet between Domer and Shkreli related to this market and DJT:
given this unprecedented plot twist, I'll have to decide what (if anything) to do with this market based on Polymarket's announcement. notably, this tweet is from ~5hr ago but we don't have any updates as yet; I'd been waiting to see what comes of it before making any decisions here. the market in question did, in fact, resolve No based on UMA voting.
obviously this is Trump Sr. not Jr. but imo it's not entirely out of the question for this market to resolve No and for new information to come out in the future.
For anyone interested in chiming in with their opinion one way or the other, voting starts in two hours and the evidence channel is open on UMA (the decentralized resolver for Polymarket markets that handles disputes). One post allowed per person.
https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1254506453306310717
If you aren't in the UMA server, here's the invite: https://discord.com/invite/uma
Martin's own claims and narrative, but he's unreliable. Some friends of Barron Trump. Mario, who is also not that reliable. And Mike Solana, who said he's sure Barron Trump is involved with the creation of $DJT. I am a N guy tho, so take that in mind.
The full evidence from both sides is on Discord, feel free to peruse over there and see the best arguments both ways.