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MANIFOLD
@Domer walks 100k steps
26
Ṁ10kṀ62k
resolved Apr 20
100%97%
On April 19, 2026
1.0%
On another date in 2026
1.8%
Does not complete his challenge in 2026

@Domer is going to make an attempt at walking 100k steps tomorrow (April 19, 2026). Will he complete his mission?

Domer made an attempt in December 2024, though without any preparation (or adequate shoes and socks). He tapped out at around 62k steps that day and hasn't tried again. He's running occasionally these days and says he's in better shape than the last time, and feeling more confident.

Will he complete 100k steps tomorrow? If not, will he manage in 2026?

Resolves Yes under obvious conditions - a verifiable 100k+ steps on April 19th or another 2026 date, or he doesn't complete the challenge this year.

All dates are determined by the US Eastern time zone.

This is a dependent market - no options will resolve until one can resolve Yes.

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Way to go @Domer!

Good job.

Why do prediction market users love doing 100k steps in a day?

bought Ṁ500 YES

@bens never in doubt, last one resolved yes and Domer is a better trader than FUH.

bought Ṁ500 YES

@bens I miss FUH

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 30% order

limit up. I'm pretty convinced Domer would have to do ultramarathon training or wake up to start at like midnight to hit it.

@Stralor my leagues are already fucked this month so I haven't put a timer on this and might forget to check it again later. eat me up

sold Ṁ99 YES

@Stralor this market is unranked

@shankypanky no it's not. I ranked it like an hour ago bc it qualifies under the guidelines (personal market with verifiable results. and domer is providing active updates)

@Stralor ah I see you actively unranked it earlier. it wasn't just the auto-unranking. do you WANT it unranked? my bad

sold Ṁ159 YES

@Stralor yeah I purposefully unranked it as a personal goal market.. I'll unrank again

@Stralor glad I saw this. I thrive on haters and doubters. Get your milkshake ready, and find a straw.

@Domer just providing incentive! good luck!

ignore I am dumb and didnt read fully

@Stralor not sure I understand what you mean - the April 19th option is for 100k steps on April 19 ET, another day is on another date ET, and the 2026 option expires when the calendar ticks over to 2027 in the US Eastern time zone.

bought Ṁ200 YES

@shankypanky I suppose my question is somewhat relevant: does it count the date he finishes (e.g. if it's after midnight tonight)? or would steps after 12am not count and he must squeeze all 100k into a singular calendar day? I assume it's the 1st, but the wording is weird

@Stralor it's a market for 100k steps on a day and so it requires 100k steps on a single date...

@shankypanky yikes. I better change my bet

@Stralor it's the same as other 100k steps markets lol I think whatever's unclear is going over my head?

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 30% order

@shankypanky it's just that 100k attempts often go into the wee hours afaik. 80k steps on calendar day 1, but they dont stop to sleep, just refresh socks and shoes and eat, etc. and finish the last 20k by 3 or 4 or even 8 the next morning.

@Stralor I mean who knows. Domer seems like a disciplined guy. But you def slow down towards the end.

@Stralor surely we want celebrate him completing the challenge, not DQ him on a technicality

@Stralor the challenge is 100k steps on a date!

@Stralor otherwise it's just "will Domer walk 100k total, ever?" lol

@Stralor Fitness trackers work on daily values, and that's how im measuring it via my watch and fitbit

@shankypanky well I mean you choose your unit: 1 attempt, 1 24h period, 1 calendar day. Calendar day it is!

@Domer Fair!

@shankypanky I’m glad @Stralor requested a clarification because it was far from obvious to me. If @Domer completed the attempt at 1am tomorrow, I’d say he walked 100k in a day, but that would not be just on April 19th. So to be perfectly clear, it is a calendar day. He has to finish by midnight ET.