NDA at 293 max. Resolving according to this: https://results.eci.gov.in/PcResultGenJune2024/index.htm and this https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/results

What's going on with this question? I spent like 2.5k mana trying to move the price but it doesn't change, though my wealth has been deducted.

@manyu I had some issues with the market showing old data too. These are the trades you actually did:

@sarius The NY Times has concluded that NDA will end up with exactly 289 seats: India Live Election Results and Map 2024 - The New York Times (nytimes.com).

Is that enough to resolve, or do you still want to wait for official results?

khatam tata bye bye gaya

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Indian_general_election

https://manifold.markets/dashboard/good-judgment-superforecasters?r=VHVtYmxlcw

Matches up perfectly with one of these "superforecaster" questions