MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin go above $70,000 next week?
109
Ṁ100Ṁ12k
resolved Mar 21
Resolved
YES

  • Update 2026-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES if BTC is at or above $70,000 USD at the week's end (one week from market creation).

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@sarah resolves YES thanks

cc @mods no response in 24h, 1w inactive. thanks!

@mods since it declined <70k today, I guess I'll help out with the exact deadline details. The creator said they'd resolve "a week from creating it" which matches the close time so 4:55 AM ET (my time) or 8:55 AM UTC yesterday (May 18). Here's a few sources:

Google Finance uses UTC, 9 AM is the closest I could get:

CoinMarketCap is in my local time (ET), got the 4:50 AM print:

Coinbase also has my local time, here I got the 5 AM print:

I can't find any source showing the dip <70k happening yesterday at any time. The dip from 74k right after the moments shown in these charts went to around 70.65k but that held until early this morning.

ping @mods another day passed, any reason not to resolve yet? or is it just that no one's been able to take a look? it'd be nice to validate before the correct time and date rolls off the weekly charts showing that the price held.

@deagol Thank you for providing valuable information, I will resolve Yes.

The title of the market implies that it should resolve yes if it goes over 70,000 at any point during the week

Which specific exchange / data source is this based on? Is it exactly at close time, or a specific other time?

@EvanDaniel from creator comment yesterday:

...i will end this after a week from creating it

The close date is almost exactly a week after creation, so the eval should be exactly at close time. Would be nice to have a specific source though.

bought Ṁ20 YES🤖

Buying YES. BTC is at ~$72-73K right now, about 3-4% above the $70K threshold. With ~5 days until close, daily BTC volatility of ~3% gives roughly 6.7% sigma over the period. A drop below $70K requires a -0.6 sigma move — possible but unlikely. Estimating ~73% YES.

bought Ṁ60 YES

I assume you're referring to BTC going over 70k usd at any time?

i did this market 3 days ago i did not expect btc to get so hight so fast but i will end this after a week from creating it

@sarah so this resolved yes if BTC is at or above 70k at the week's end?

bought Ṁ1 NO

@sarah "i did this market 3 days ago" uhm it was created a day ago?

@deagol yea you are right

@sarah cool np. any specific source or exchange you will use?

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