Which Manifold users are cheaters in Predictle according to @Bayesian?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ325Ṁ3.8k

an hour ago

ALL

24%

@blackcrusade

14%

@remedyrain

@JussiVilleHeiskanen

Resolved

YES

@1bets

context: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/which-manifold-user-is-the-predictl

An option resolves YES if @Bayesian considers the corresponding Manifold user to have cheated in Predictle, and NO otherwise. Resolves N/A if unclear, or if the person is not included on the aforementioned market at close.

Market context

Manifold Users

Manifold

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What’s the case for @BlackCrusade , @remedyrain @JussiVilleHeiskanen, traders?

@Bayesian Well, me for one, since I admitted having done so, inadvertently.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen compelling argument

@Bayesian I don't play predictle because it is non-functional on mobile

@Bayesian

could decide having/mixing up an alt doesn't rise to the level of "cheating on this specific market"

what is the lore on 1bets?

@Hakari https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/which-manifold-user-is-the-predictl#n4utkcg32zh

bought Ṁ80 YES

@Hakari Bayesian also said : "@1bets one of your referral links was created by user MyDreamIsHere2018"

Unsurprising lol given his history (1bets)

bought Ṁ10 YES

Who made @bayesian a choice?

I know he does for sure

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Will US real-money prediction markets create significantlty more shenanigans according to Manifold ?

75% chance

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