An option resolves YES if @Bayesian considers the corresponding Manifold user to have cheated in Predictle, and NO otherwise. Resolves N/A if unclear, or if the person is not included on the aforementioned market at close.

Market context

Manifold

Manifold Users

Prop Bets

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ115
2		Ṁ45
3		Ṁ22
4		Ṁ18
5		Ṁ16

People are also trading

Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the 2026 ACX prediction contest?

13 Comments

22 Holders

110 Trades

Sort by:

What’s the case for @BlackCrusade , @remedyrain @JussiVilleHeiskanen, traders?

@Bayesian Well, me for one, since I admitted having done so, inadvertently.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen compelling argument

@Bayesian I don't play predictle because it is non-functional on mobile

@Bayesian what's your judgment?

@root yes to jussi-ville, no to the rest!

@Bayesian

could decide having/mixing up an alt doesn't rise to the level of "cheating on this specific market"

what is the lore on 1bets?

@Hakari https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/which-manifold-user-is-the-predictl#n4utkcg32zh

bought Ṁ80 YES

@Hakari Bayesian also said : "@1bets one of your referral links was created by user MyDreamIsHere2018"

Unsurprising lol given his history (1bets)

bought Ṁ10 YES

Who made @bayesian a choice?

I know he does for sure

People are also trading

Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the 2026 ACX prediction contest?

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions