OpenAI rolls out mandatory age verification for ChatGPT in the U.S. before March 1, 2026
6
100Ṁ156
2026
80%
chance

OpenAI recently announced plans to implement age verification for ChatGPT to protect minors. This market resolves to YES if OpenAI implements a mandatory age verification system for ChatGPT users in the United States before March 1, 2026.

Age verification could include:

  • ID verification

  • Behavioral analysis to predict age

  • Any system that attempts to verify users are over/under 18

Resolution criteria: This market resolves to YES if OpenAI implements any form of mandatory age verification for ChatGPT users in the United States before March 1, 2026. This includes systems that attempt to automatically detect a user's age or require ID verification in certain cases. The market resolves to NO if no such system is implemented by the deadline.

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— YES: policy pressure + safety optics + targeted rollouts (ID in some flows / automated age inference).

— NO: friction, ID liability, and “soft” teen modes without true verification.

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