Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, as of December 31, 2033, OpenAI’s primary, general-purpose consumer-facing conversational AI product is officially branded and marketed under a name containing "ChatGPT" (case-insensitive) as a core identifier (e.g., "ChatGPT," "ChatGPT Plus," "ChatGPT-7").

This market will resolve to NO if:

• OpenAI’s primary consumer conversational AI product has been renamed to a brand that does not contain "ChatGPT" as a core identifier.

• OpenAI no longer offers a direct-to-consumer conversational AI product (e.g., they pivot entirely to enterprise APIs, B2B services, or operating system integrations without a distinct consumer chatbot product).

• OpenAI has ceased operations, gone bankrupt, or been liquidated without a successor entity continuing to run the consumer service under the ChatGPT brand.

If OpenAI is acquired or undergoes a corporate restructuring, but the acquiring or successor entity continues to run and brand the primary consumer product as "ChatGPT," this market will still resolve to YES.

The primary sources for resolution will be OpenAI's official product announcements on openai.com, the active domain for their consumer interface (currently chatgpt.com), and credible technology press reporting on December 31, 2033.

Background

Launched in November 2022, ChatGPT became one of the fastest-growing consumer applications in history. Despite its immense brand equity, OpenAI has faced regulatory and legal challenges in securing exclusive trademark rights. The U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) has repeatedly rejected OpenAI's attempts to register the word marks "GPT" and "ChatGPT" on the grounds that they are "merely descriptive" of the product's underlying technology. As AI products evolve from basic chat interfaces into comprehensive autonomous agents, "AI operating systems," or integrated hardware layers, OpenAI may choose to phase out the "Chat" branding in favor of a name that reflects a broader set of agentic capabilities.

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