MANIFOLD
Will we get a new version of Gemini 3 Pro before getting Gemini 3.5 Pro?
19
Ṁ100Ṁ2k
in 8 hours
9%
chance

  • Update 2026-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Gemini 3 Pro Deep Think is considered a separate product, not a new version of Gemini 3 Pro.

Gemini 3.1 Pro is not considered a new version of Gemini 3 Pro (it's a different model line).

  • Update 2026-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Examples of what would resolve YES:

    • A new Gemini 3 Pro Preview model

    • A Gemini 3 Pro GA (General Availability) model

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Resolves YES due to the new Gemini 3 Pro Deep Think release (Feb 12, after market creation

https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-3-deep-think/

or are you asking for something available via API, then does a silent checkpoint count? Or are you asking about Gemini 3.1 before 3.5?

@ChinmayTheMathGuy

Gemini 3 Pro Deep Think

this isn't a version of gemini 3 Pro, it's a separate product

Gemini 3.1

that's not a new version of gemini 3 pro, that's gemini 3.1 pro

bought Ṁ250 NO

@jim lol then this is a dumb market, should resolve no then since 3.1 is out

https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/pro/

isn’t Gemini 3 still in preview

https://docs.cloud.google.com/vertex-ai/generative-ai/docs/start/get-started-with-gemini-3

I don’t even know what qualifies as yes then

@ChinmayTheMathGuy A new Gemini 3 Pro Preview model would cause this market to resolve 'yes'. A Gemini 3 Pro GA model would also cause this market to resolve 'yes'.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy