What is Manifold's favorite llm benchmark? [Add answers]
3
1kṀ405
in 16 hours
50%
METR 50% time horizon
15%
Other
10%
LMArena
6%
Humanity's Last Exam
6%
IMO performance
6%
Pokemon
6%
Artificial analysis intelligence index

At close, for each answer, I will add up the square root of the number of YES shares each trader holds. The answer with the highest sum resolves YES. If it is a tie, the resolution will be split evenly.

For example, if A holds 1 YES of answer 1 and 8 YES of answer 2 and B holds 4 YES of answer 1, then A would resolve YES because 1+2>sqrt(8).

Manifold
Manifold Users
LLMs
Manifold Business Future
AI Benchmarks
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 YES

narrator: it wasn't close

@Bayesian I put a little in other for ECI 🤠

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy