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MANIFOLD
Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ719
Dec 20
5%
chance

Calvin Wang is a first-year student at MIT and described my sleep schedule as "lowkey kinda appealing". Will he adopt it for a week?

Informally, this market resolves YES if for seven consecutive days in the fall semester, Calvin sleeps for at least seven hours and wakes up before 6:30am.

Formally, let a day D be passing if Calvin is not asleep between 6:30am local time and 6:30pm local time on day D and is asleep for at least seven hours from 6:30pm local time on day D to 6:30am local time on day D+1. This market resolves YES if there exist seven consecutive days in the Fall 2026 semester at MIT which are passing. Otherwise, the market resolves NO.

Personal Goals
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Ṁ1,000
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@traders We had some issues formally defining the market, but this should be the final formulation.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 99.0% order

@jatloe Do it. You won't.

Limit up for 1 hour.

something rong?

@E142 The point is that Quroe is giving jatloe a chance to win 500 mana if he can adopt my sleep schedule for a week.

Yup! Commit!

@rewind he already spent 5.8k on NO so i dont think he would gain mana by switching

@E142 It would be funny if other piled on and added to my limit order at 99%. This would be a very fun market to trade on then.

Just watch. Spring my trap.

I love this comment section.

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 5% order

theres no way this is a real market

@jatloe You said the sleep schedule was appealing, so it would be logical to think that you might try it out.

@rewind 🦧

@jatloe 🦧

opened aṀ10,000NO at 5% order

@jatloe 💀