This market is almost certainly resolving NO, but I'll wait until the end date just for completeness.

Thanks for the motivation, and I'm certainly better off for trying even though I didn't succeed! I also learned to do a muscle-up along the way, which was a fun achievement.

@retr0id Sometimes life gets in the way

Haven't really made any progress lately :/

@retr0id Still no progress?

Update on progress?

For a while now I've been able to hold one arm with elbow locked at 90 degrees, for a few seconds at a time. Today I managed to l complete the second half of the movement from that position, on my right arm. Still can't get out of a dead hang on one arm, though.

was travelling for a week so my routine was interrupted - came back 1kg heavier, but no loss of strength

https://manifold.markets/Pepe/will-i-beat-retr0id-to-doing-a-one

At +70% around 50% of people can do it. But also going from +60% to +70% to +80% is hard and getting harder. I spent a year at that threshold and never did an oac.

Well the good news is I can still do +60% bw, but the bad news is that I haven't progressed. I've been slacking!

@retr0id My 1RM did go up slightly but my bodyweight also went up to compensate lol

@retr0id up to 63%

@retr0id 65%

Attempted +60% bw today - and failed, although I got about half way (elbows at 90 degrees). And I'd been exercising earlier, I think I might've managed it if I was more fresh.

@retr0id Tried again at 60%, success 💪

@retr0id tried 65% for the lulz, failed half way up. Maybe next week?

@retr0id 65% would be a fun milestone because it's the absolute max I can add to my dipping belt without running out of room on the chain (because half my weights are the vinyl/cement variety, not very dense - need to get more cast-iron weights!)

1RM is now +55% bw (it's more that I'm figuring out where my limit is, rather than actual gains relative to the last 1RM I reported)

It's interesting, when I do unweighted pullups to failure, the most difficult part is coming out of the dead hang. But at these higher weights, the motion is much slower and I'm finding the hardest part is the very end (i.e. getting my chin to clear the bar)

@retr0id perhaps I am unknowingly relying on momentum for the final part, at lower weights. I'll try going slower.

How often are you training?

What is your diet like?

Are you taking steroids or similar?

@StephenFowler28ac most days, aiming for high-protein but not measured/strict (omnivore), no but I do supplement creatine

This might kinda be a self-resolving market, in people believing you will succeed might boost you towards succeeding

@MartinSundhaug I'm actually very spite-motivated, the NO bets are even stronger motivation than the YESes

@retr0id yeah but those people are shooting themselves in the foot

@MartinSundhaug Speaking as the biggest NO holder, I think these personal goal markets are fun. And they only work if somebody takes the other side.

And speaking as somebody who failed to do a one armer after working on it for over a year, I'd be delighted to lose a bit of mana in the cause of somebody meeting the goal. It's an awesome goal!

(Plus it's not gonna happen 😉 )