What will be manifolds favorite song in Eurovision 2025?
What will be manifolds favorite song in Eurovision 2025?
17
250Ṁ1546resolved May 19
100%92%
Austria: JJ – 'Wasted Love'
1.9%
Sweden: KAJ – 'Bara bada bastu'
0.2%
Israel: Yuval Raphael – 'New Day Will Rise'
0.2%
France: Louane – 'Maman'
0.2%
Ukraine: Ziferblat – 'Bird of Pray'
0.2%
Germany: Abor & Tynna – 'Baller'
0.2%
Ireland: EMMY – 'Laika Party'
0.4%
Latvia: Tautumeidas - 'Bur Man Laimi
3%
Estonia - Tommy Cash Cafe Machiato
2%Other
Resolution Criteria:
I will make a poll asking: "What's your favorite song in Eurovision 2025?" after all eurovision songs were performed in the final. The option with the most votes after 24 hours resolves YES in this market.
In case of a draw, i'll make a tiebreaker poll. If that is also a draw after 24 hours, i'll choose randomly between the two options.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.