Resolution criteria:

As soon as any pole for the afd on this website is above 50%, the current year will resolve YES, if that never happens before 2037(i hope), "2036+ or never" resolves YES.

https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/

If the website doesn't exist or not accurate due to some other reason, let me know in the comments and i'll make a poll on which other polls to use.

Heavily inspired by(just a different threshhold): https://manifold.markets/Base/when-will-the-afd-be-the-largest-pa-zUyZgIUtO2?r=cmVtZWR5cmFpbg

I will only bet on this market once after creating and then i won't anymore.