If x happens, will manifold hit another record low of daily traders in 2025? [Add Answers]
8
375แน€796
Dec 31
99%
The linked market goes above 90 percent for 24 hours in 2025
96%
@Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
78%
This market has more than 25 answer added to it
74%
@strutheo's Manifold Leadership Approval Rating reaches its pre-pivot high of 73%
74%
Daily active traders is above 3000 once in 2025
74%
@TheAllMemeingEye leaves manifold(doesnt trade for at least a month) in 2025
73%
@TheAllMemeingEye joins and is promoted to the most senior position of the Manifold team in April or May
73%
Destiny gets sponsored by Manifold in 2025
69%
You can use Mana to donate to charity again in 2025
66%
@strutheo's Manifold Leadership Approval Rating stays below 50% for 24 consecutive hours
66%
Sweepstakes is reintroduced in some fashion in 2025
63%
I(@remedy) see an add for manifold on my YouTube in 2025
41%
Destiny gets sponsored by manifold in April or Mai

Any answer that doesn't happen reolves N/A, if it does happen, it resolves the same as this market:

the goal of this market is to help find out which things might be useful or not so useful for bringing more traders to Manifold.

I might continually add liquidity if the market gains traction

  • Update 2025-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Sustained Threshold Requirement:

    • The linked market must go above 90% at least once in 2025 and remain above that level continuously for 24 hours.

  • Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An answer will resolve N/A if the event it describes does not happen before the linked market resolves.

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bought แน€100 YES

It seems very likely the linked market is about to resolve YES.

To clarify, do options here resolve n/a if it doesn't happen before linked market resolution (no point in betting on ones that haven't happened), or if it doesn't happen within the potentially larger timeframe mentioned within the option (all should be betted to near 100% even if they're unlikely)?

@TheAllMemeingEye they resolve N/A if it doesn't happen before linked market resolution. I should have been more clear in the description

@remedyrain Just keep a clause that it must be sustained for 24 hours, otherwise I can bet 200 mana on yes and put the rest here, getting free mana

@100Anonymous you're right, i'll do that, if anyone thinks the change was bad and it lost you mana unfairly, i'll revert it again.

Thanks for making this :)

Futarchy go brrrrrrrrrrrrrr

bought แน€7 YES

Great market

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