Resolves to the answer with the highest net trader number (number of YES traders - number of NO traders) on June 1st, 2025, at 1 PM ET. This is meant to be all-inclusive - please feel free to add answers.
Inspired by:
Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that this market will not resolve to 'Other'.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ192 | |
2 | Ṁ111 | |
3 | Ṁ108 | |
4 | Ṁ94 | |
5 | Ṁ92 |
People are also trading
I would like traders to consider that, if balls were to undergo a meteoric rise from lowest to winner, firstly that those trading would make a bunch, and secondly that it would be very funny, possibly Manifold Lore worthy
[deleted, forgot to repost]
Just for future reference: I'm not going to remove any already-existing answers, but I'd prefer that we stick to only listing single factors. The multi factor answers take the fun out of it imo
By combining a trader number market with a linked multiple choice market, we seem to have created the strange situation where any newly added option gets a huge head start even if it's trash lol
Kudos to @spiderduckpig , the one user brave enough to vote yes on balls

Not the hero we deserve, but the one we need
@remedyrain Arguably kinda cheating, I think it's implied it's meant to be "which ONE factor is MOST important", not "what are all the factors"
I'm assuming "highest trader number" here means highest net trader number (number of yes traders minus number of no traders), right?