
Will I only take cold showers at home for 1 year? (streak rules apply)
7
100Ṁ137Sep 7
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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This market is about whether I will only take cold showers at home for one year, from 7 September 2024 until 7 September 2025. It serves as a commitment device to help me save energy and benefit from the antidepressant effects of cold showers.
Rules:
Only showers taken at home count toward this market. I may take hot showers at the gym or elsewhere without breaking the streak.
Streak forgiveness: I may take a total of 12 warm showers at home, during this timeframe, to allow some flexibility for when I'm sick.
Additional Notes:
My last cold shower market, with a different ruleset, failed after 212 days.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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