Will I exercise every single day until July?

Question

This is a commitment device market about maintaining  a baseline of physical activity from 10 June to 30 June.

YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe. Daily target: EITHER 30+ minutes of jogging, cycling, swimming or stationary bike OR 60+ minutes of taking a walk outside.

NO i f I miss a single day for any reason whatsoever.

Notes: I will not trade on this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 46% chance (3 traders, as of Jun 10, 2026).

People are also trading

Related questions