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MANIFOLD
Will Fable be available for a continuous 30 days on the subscription plan between July 15 and October 31?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ4.3k
resolved Jul 19
Resolved
N/A

  • Update 2026-07-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering resolving this market as either N/A or 50% due to ambiguity in the phrase "the subscription plan."

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@traders I am extremely conflicted about how to resolve this.

I wanted to make this market in order to get a personal price signal on whether I would get more access to Fable, as a $20 subscriber, but that's not what's happening.

"the subscription plan" is highly ambiguous.

I would consider resolving this either N/A or 50% (when August 14 rolls around)

I'm a NO holder, and I think if there was a whole new subscription tier or something for Fable, there would be a case for a partial to NO resolution (though I still wouldn't argue with YES), because it would be on a subscription but not any of the existing plans when the market was created.

With it being available to one of the existing subscription plans, though, I think a YES would make most sense here, since it is the case that it's available on subscription and it's on one of the existing plans so there's no weirdness there.

If it said something like "my subscription plan" then NO would make sense, but as is, it's unfortunate, but wanting a market as a signal for something then finding it's an imperfect proxy just happens sometimes.

@jbeshir Thanks for your detailed thoughts

(although I do want to point out you are barely a no holder with only Ṁ5 at risk)

I have to think about this a bit more, obviously we have a month to figure it out

@realTomBayes I see where you're coming from but since you didn't specify a plan I don't see any reason to exclude the Max plan, and I think it should resolve YES assuming nothing changes before August 14th.

@xjp Well, I don't see any reason to exclude the Pro plan. That's the conflict.

@realTomBayes It's not excluding the Pro plan though. It's just including both since neither was specified. Anyways I wouldn't complain if you wanted to N/A.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 85% order

@traders Big limit order up for 1 day. Lock in your price now.