(Manifold for Charity) Based on public reports. If ambiguous, @Austin will be consulted in the comments Update 2026-09-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Employment at Manifund (legally known as Manifold for Charity) satisfies the resolution criteria for this market.

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 98% chance (14 traders, as of Oct 3, 2026).

Caroline Ellison still working for Manifund by EOY?

Caroline Ellison still working for Manifund by EOY?

Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k

Dec 31

98.1%

chance

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(Manifold for Charity)

Based on public reports. If ambiguous, @Austin will be consulted in the comments

Update 2026-09-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Employment at Manifund (legally known as Manifold for Charity) satisfies the resolution criteria for this market.

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Manifund, not Manifold Markets

@Xiphias Manifund is legally known as Manifold for Charity.

@realTomBayes I eminent-domained this to say Manifund for brand accuracy reasons.

@SG bro

WTF? Some veeery bad judgment here....