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MANIFOLD
Alex Finn AI Predictions
15
Ṁ250Ṁ681
resolved Aug 2
Resolved
NO
New ChatGPT OpenClaw plan
Resolved
NO
New ChatGPT OpenClaw model
Resolved
NO
OpenClaw corporate plan
Resolved
NO
New gpt-oss model
Resolved
NO
Mac Studio 1TB M5 Ultra
Resolved
NO
OpenClaw and oss model for iPhone
Resolved
NO
"Everyone" running Opus 5 or equivalent intelligence
Resolved
NO
Compute costs explode
Resolved
NO
Jobs eliminated en masse
Resolved
NO
PERMANENT UNDERCLASS

As detailed in this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIgDfVSDmMU

Creator judgement via CCR for the ones that are not clear-cut. Will consult traders.

  • Update 2026-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All predictions must occur before August 2026 (the market close date) to resolve YES.

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lmao

@Bayesian yeah lol, very miscalibrated

video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIgDfVSDmMU

bought Ṁ20 NO

(sorry this was rude)

@realDonaldTrump do these have to happen before august?

@Bayesian I agree with your original statement, he's pretty dumb but I find his videos super entertaining for that reason.

@Bayesian Yes, that's what he predicted in the video

@Bayesian Oh BTW, in the video he said these were all "100% guaranteed"

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