MANIFOLD
Will sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ182
Dec 31
11%
chance

  • Update 2026-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A federal ban is required for YES resolution. State-specific bans do not count.

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Pros:

• Easy to make unambiguous resolution criteria, for example it's easy to see who won in a race.

• People who get really good at it are stats wizards.

Cons:

• Match fixing (such as players betting on themselves).

• Highly accessible addiction building, like you just need an option about a locally popular sport.

• Unless you go incredibly deep into it, minimal learning opportunities to learn through research compared to other market types.

• Tricking yourself into thinking you have a one-up on randomness.

opened a Ṁ25 NO at 40% order

Do state-specific bans count?

@ProjectVictory no has to be federal

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