Will sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ182Dec 31
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Update 2026-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A federal ban is required for YES resolution. State-specific bans do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Pros:
• Easy to make unambiguous resolution criteria, for example it's easy to see who won in a race.
• People who get really good at it are stats wizards.
Cons:
• Match fixing (such as players betting on themselves).
• Highly accessible addiction building, like you just need an option about a locally popular sport.
• Unless you go incredibly deep into it, minimal learning opportunities to learn through research compared to other market types.
• Tricking yourself into thinking you have a one-up on randomness.
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