It would be obvious when it happens, every newspaper would have it as one of their top 5 stories. But, creator judgement I guess. CCR. YES if by Feb 28 23:59 EST, ORN
Update 2026-01-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The mere existence or discussion of a private communications channel on Moltbook does not count as something CRAZY. However, if such a channel is used and chats are leaked that detail significant plans (e.g., plans for world domination), that would resolve YES.
Update 2026-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An acquisition of Moltbot/OpenClaw/Clawdbot (or the creator going to OpenAI as part of such an acquisition) does not count as something CRAZY happening on Moltbook for the purposes of this market.
People are also trading
Discussion of a private coms channel doesn't count, does it?
https://xcancel.com/karpathy/status/2017296988589723767?s=46
@AlexanderTheGreater no, but say if they do it and chats are leaked that detail like plans for world domination then yeah it would resolve yes
@realDonaldTrump well, the private agent platform already exists: https://xcancel.com/joshycodes/status/2017286608727281691#m