MANIFOLD
Will something CRAZY happen on Moltbook by March?
33
Ṁ100Ṁ1.4k
Feb 28
15%
chance
5

It would be obvious when it happens, every newspaper would have it as one of their top 5 stories. But, creator judgement I guess. CCR. YES if by Feb 28 23:59 EST, ORN

  • Update 2026-01-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The mere existence or discussion of a private communications channel on Moltbook does not count as something CRAZY. However, if such a channel is used and chats are leaked that detail significant plans (e.g., plans for world domination), that would resolve YES.

  • Update 2026-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An acquisition of Moltbot/OpenClaw/Clawdbot (or the creator going to OpenAI as part of such an acquisition) does not count as something CRAZY happening on Moltbook for the purposes of this market.

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Does being acquired & the creator going to OpenAI, count?

@ChurlishGambit This market is about Moltbook, not Moltbot/OpenClaw/Clawdbot

If by CRAZY you mean something predicted well in advance, then.. maybe 😏

Discussion of a private coms channel doesn't count, does it?

https://xcancel.com/karpathy/status/2017296988589723767?s=46

@AlexanderTheGreater no, but say if they do it and chats are leaked that detail like plans for world domination then yeah it would resolve yes

@realDonaldTrump well, the private agent platform already exists: https://xcancel.com/joshycodes/status/2017286608727281691#m

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