Read Before Betting!
Today's Twist
For 24 hours only, you can purchase equity in Prime Numbers (TMM: PMNS).
What is it?
A Prime Pass is a special premium ticket that pays out whenever the lottery number is prime.
How does it work?
Lottery participants can buy equity in Prime Numbers. By investing in Prime Numbers, you will be paid out from a prize pool whenever the lottery number is prime for the remainder of Season 1.
When you send mana, half of it is set aside for the Prime Prize Pool. Each day, 1/25 of the prize pool is added to the daily pot. If the drawn number is prime, the pot is distributed to investors in Prime Numbers in proportion to their investment via this bounty market: /realDonaldTrump/prime-prize-pool
Here's the twist that makes it profitable for you: if the number drawn is not prime, half of the daily prize pot is rolled over to tomorrow's pot. This can occur for an unlimited number of days.
How do I buy equity in Prime Numbers?
Managram the amount of mana you want to invest to @realDonaldTrump with the message "Investing in prime numbers."
How can I get FREE STAKES in prime numbers?
If you refer someone that invests in prime numbers and tags you in their managram, you will receive half their investment worth of shares in prime numbers.
Stats
Day: 7
All-Time Prizes: Ṁ0
Manifolders Using Automation: 0
Automation Bounties Distributed: Ṁ0
Yesterday's "Gamblers": 27
Entries Purchased Yesterday: 0
Season: 1 (Ends Day 33/Dec 12)
Active Season Passes: 61
How It Works
How to Enter
Buy Ṁ1 YES and sell it immediately.
How the Winner is Selected
After this market closes, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number N among 1 to 5000 in the comments. The Nth unique trader of this market wins Ṁ10000 and the loan (see below), if such a trader exists. Otherwise, no prize is awarded.
Resolution
This market will unconditionally resolve to 50%.
Prizes
Ṁ10,000
A 30-day Ṁ8,000 loan at 2.5% interest if desired.
Your risk.markets credit score must be above 200 to receive the loan.
This rule can have exceptions if the user is well-known or trusted.
Get Higher Chances of Winning
You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ5 each.
You will get an additional N number when the 5000-sided die is rolled.
A minimum of 2 entries must be purchased at once.
To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"
Changing Your Lotto Numbers
If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.
It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.
Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.
Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.
For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.
Automations and Bounties
I have also made a python script if you want to automate a buy-1-sell-1 every day: https://github.com/realDonaldTrump-Manifold/TrumpMegaMillions
For each month a Manifolder runs this script continuously, I will send the user Ṁ50.
Disclaimers & Credits
Disclaimers:
I reserve the right to end TrumpMegaMillions at any time for any reason.
TrumpMegaMillions will resolve and will make a new daily market within 24 hours of close time. I am likely to resolve shortly after close, but I am not liable if I hold off for longer.
Although I don't think there are any, I am not responsible for any bugs in the automation that may cause losses.
I reserve the right to not pay out automation bounties if I do not believe the claimer was actually using the script.
Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce a response 24 hours after the close date, and after additional @FairlyRandom roll requests, I will use a Python script to randomly generate the number.
Placing a limit order will not count you as a unique trader.
I can also add disclaimers at any moment.
Credits:
@ttoe for the idea.
@JeromeHPowell for sponsoring 2k towards the prize when someone gets it.
@Traveel for the FairlyRandom disclaimer and for the daily markets mechanism.
@Eliza for being the mod who approves this.
@jim for being the first ever gambler.
The Manifold team for being great. :)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ0 | |
| 2 | Ṁ0 | |
| 3 | Ṁ0 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
@realDonaldTrump your random number is: 1615
Salt: xg2tl1ipowr, round: 5602679 (signature afa0c1f4d51e49201d5d33d1c4a28e1fb48596d6836d978833472ee1712bda0e49bc19d9f1b39b33663e157a0e6a984a11f93048661bfdf8840a4a889f66573c9d7d9855ab891d778295a453e7654f47ba7d3df29d34a8b9c7f22810c3a0e1b0)
@realDonaldTrump you asked for a random integer between 1 and 5000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 5602677 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5602679, salt: xg2tl1ipowr.
@realDonaldTrump did some thinking after that comment, and things are quite wild here, so could be that a chain letter type thing or an out and out ponzi scheme might be seen as acceptable. But your thing is unidirectional, and single level. So not a pyramid scheme. I don't see a downside. I just have a hard time visualizing what precisely finances what and does it all add up. Which may be a selling point. In that it is sophisticated.
@realDonaldTrump specifically I meant the bit about gifting half the amount of shares of referrals to the one who conviced the taking of a stake. How is it financed... and are people locked in after that?
@JussiVilleHeiskanen The shares for the prime numbers?
Half of the share money goes into the prize pool that is growing daily
@realDonaldTrump do you give half the stake only from the first person they recruit, or can they recruit any number?
@JussiVilleHeiskanen They can recruit any number. Basically I just give the referrer a free stake, it is not funded by your referree
@JussiVilleHeiskanen It's pretty clearly a market type that shouldn't be subsidized, according to the guidelines. But also people are having fun and we don't like raining on that parade. And we don't currently have a way to unsubsidize without fully unlisting it. Mod team views on what to do about this are split.
Given that this has a guaranteed outcome and that the liquidity stake provided by the creator isn't at risk, and isn't funding a predictive question, this seems like fairly blatant bonus farming to me. Hopefully that part won't be repeated, and we won't have to figure out firmer rules, because I don't see any way that ends with people being happy.
@EvanDaniel TrumpMegaMillions isn't just a bonus farm -- it's a revolution.
This certainly ends with people being happy. They're taking risk-free bets to win a huge amount of mana. It's a win-win, and Manifold's cool kids are having fun.