If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ112039
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
14% chance
Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
18% chance
Will Robin Hanson (professor, blogger, and inventor of prediction markets) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?
48% chance
Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?
78% chance
Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?
72% chance
Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
6% chance
Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?
9% chance
Will Matthew Rognlie (https://sites.northwestern.edu/rognlie/) win the Nobel Prize in Economics in his lifetime?
50% chance