Do you agree with "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies?"
46
Oct 19
Yes
No
I didn't read the book, and I'm an idiot, therefore agreeing to a 5% idiot tax.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
"If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" becomes #1 NYT Bestseller in 2025?
2% chance
Valid argument for high p(doom) in @EliezerYudkowsky's upcoming book "If Anyone Builds, Everyone Dies"?
13% chance
Spanish translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
1/18/27
German translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
11/8/26
French translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
12/28/26
Will JD Vance mention ‘If anyone builds it everyone dies’ by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky before 2026?
11% chance
Sort by:
I didn't read the book, and I'm an idiot, therefore agreeing to a 5% idiot tax.
FWIW I bought the book and read some of it, and regretted it as none of the arguments contained are new to me, just the presentation, and I didn't like the presentation. I do approximately agree with the thesis of the book.
People are also trading
Related questions
"If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" becomes #1 NYT Bestseller in 2025?
2% chance
Valid argument for high p(doom) in @EliezerYudkowsky's upcoming book "If Anyone Builds, Everyone Dies"?
13% chance
Spanish translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
1/18/27
German translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
11/8/26
French translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
12/28/26
Will JD Vance mention ‘If anyone builds it everyone dies’ by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky before 2026?
11% chance