This question resolved to YES if on August 31, 2024 I haven't been enrolled in college for the previous two years (at which point Tufts won't let me back) or if before then I officially drop out (rather than stalling by "taking semesters off" which is what's currently happening).
1,000
3.00I didn't officially drop out, because having a baby put me on medical leave which can go indefinitely, which I didn't realize was possible so didn't mention in the resolution criteria. But I have no plans to go back, I just haven't officially told the school that yet because I like my free Notion and NYT subscriptions. I'll count that as dropping out.
@rachel FYI: Free edu Notion account is for life :) (I asked). Just make sure email forwarding is on
Base rates: apparently 33% of college students drop out! That's a lot higher than I expected: https://educationdata.org/college-dropout-rates
Though from a forecasting perspective I think that should be adjusted downwards, as 4-year university students seem half as likely to drop out; and dropouts are disporoptionately freshman (Rachel's a junior)
@Austin But better reference classes for me would be either my college where it’s <10% or EA undergrads who take a semester off for which the drop out rate might be even higher than your base rate idk
