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MANIFOLD
GPT4-Resolving: Will there be more than 310 markets created on manifold in the last 24 hours?
4
Ṁ110Ṁ63
resolved Dec 18
Resolved
YES

This market will be resolved by GPT4 on a daily basis.

Right now it's an experiment, and if it goes well,I'll start automating it and adding more markets.

As I was not having much luck with non api based resolution, I'm going to try API based resolution now. I'll start with using the manifold API.

GPT4 gave me this code:

python -c "import json, sys, time, requests; from datetime import datetime, timedelta; data = requests.get('https://api.manifold.markets/v0/markets?limit=500').json(); count = sum(1 for ts in [item['createdTime'] for item in data] if datetime.fromtimestamp(ts/1000) > datetime.now() - timedelta(days=1)); print(f'Count: {count}')"

I'll run the code tomorrow and if greater than 200 I'll resolve as YES.

That's enough for today, but I want to think of a more generic way to provide evidence to GPT4 and just have it resolve markets.

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python -c "import json, sys, time, requests; from datetime import datetime, timedelta;\

data = requests.get('https://api.manifold.markets/v0/markets?limit=500').json(); count = sum(1 for ts in [item['createdTime'] for item in data] if datetime.fromtimestamp(ts/10\

00) > datetime.now() - timedelta(days=1)); print(f'Count: {count}')"

Count: 345