🎓 Will I complete my PhD?

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PhD programs generally have a 50-60% completion rate.

I started a PhD in fall of 2023. I have been working on research with my advisor since starting as well as working at my current job while completing my courses.

There are only 13 courses which can be completed in 2 years, but the research portion of the PhD tends to take another 3ish? years for incredibly nebulous reasons.

I will update this market with any relevant information as it goes on.

Feel free to ask for relevant info.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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What are some reasons you think you might not finish your PhD? (Presumably you have something in mind, given that you created this market.)

How excited are you — and your advisor— about your research topic?

Is there a possibility that your research will open a new field or dramatically expand an existing field?

What are your reasons for pursuing a PhD?

@Ouroboros I thought it would be fun 😅. And TBF, so far, it has been

bought Ṁ55 YES from 52% to 56%

What's the completion rate and average completion time for your particular advisor?

@LucaMasters My advisor hasn't been advising long enough to give a meaningful answer, but (highly relevant!) stats like that are pretty elusive even at the department level 🤷

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