Question borrowed from a prediction on the Connected podcast.

https://rickies.co/annual-2025#rickies-pick1171

Background

Apple's AirTag is a small tracking device introduced in April 2021 that helps users locate personal items using the Find My network. The current model uses Ultra Wideband technology for precise tracking and Bluetooth for wider-range detection.

According to recent reports, Apple is developing a second-generation AirTag (AirTag 2) expected to launch in 2025. The new model is rumored to feature:

• Enhanced tracking range (potentially tripled) using a second-generation Ultra Wideband chip similar to those in iPhone 15 and Apple Watch Ultra 2

• Improved security features, including a more tamper-resistant speaker to prevent stalking

• Possible integration with Apple Vision Pro

• Similar physical design to the original AirTag

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the conclusion reached by the Connected podcast hosts in their annual review at the beginning of 2026. The market will resolve YES if they determine that Apple released a new AirTag model with improved tracking capabilities during 2025.

The market will resolve NO if:

• Apple does not release a new AirTag in 2025

• Apple releases a new AirTag in 2025, but without improved tracking capabilities

• The Connected podcast hosts determine that the criteria were not met