Must be a hardware change and must be a model that wasn't previously available (e.g. can't just be an existing model being released in a new jurisdiction).
Must be officially announced at some time after 2023 and before 2025.
This market will remain open throughout 2024, but I will try to resolve as products are released.
If Apple announces a new model/generation that isn't shipped in the calendar year (a la Vision Pro - 2023), I will still resolve that as YES
The iPad option refers specifically to the iPad model that is not "Pro", "Air", or "mini" (e.g. a new "11th gen" iPad)
If you think this should include other existing products (e.g. iPad keyboards) and you comment, I might add them, but I have restricted new options to avoid option fatigue.
These can (and might) all resolve YES
Related questions
Related to iPad announcement: https://manifold.markets/esusatyo/will-new-ipad-air-in-2024-cost-more?r=ZXN1c2F0eW8
βAn Apple Pencil update is coming soonβ - Apple Insider
βNew iPad, MacBook Air, Mac mini: What to expect from a spring Apple eventβ https://appleinsider.com/articles/24/02/14/new-ipad-macbook-air-mac-mini-what-to-expect-from-a-spring-apple-event