How many tech workers will be laid off in 2026?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.4kDec 31
20%
<=150K (cuts collapse, would require a near-halt in H2)
89%
>=150K (deceleration scenario, like 2024)
70%
>=225K( sustained current pace; rivals 2023)
55%
>= 300K (acceleration; AI wave intensifies)
21%
>= 400K (new all-time high, crisis territory)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will more than 150k tech layoffs occur in 2026?
85% chance
Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)?
52% chance
Which companies will announce layoffs in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
US tech employment drops 10% from 2025 value in which year?
2034
Company employee count ranking change by end of year 2026?
Which gaming companies will layoff 20%+ of their workforce by end 2026?
AI reduces US tech workforce by 20% before 2029?
27% chance
Will there be a shortage of IT workers by the end of 2030?
34% chance
Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?
70% chance