Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve based on the Bitcoin price achieved at any point from market creation to the end of March 2025 (December 17, 2024, 12:00 PT to March 31, 2025, 23:59 PT).
Price Source:
The primary resolution source will be Coinbase (https://www.coinbase.com), using the hourly high/low price for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
**EDIT: Changed "daily" to "hourly" as Coinbase's daily high/low are based in UTC timezone, whereas this market's timezone is PT/PDT.
Individual Option Resolution:
• Each option will be resolved individually as soon as Bitcoin reaches that price level.
• If Bitcoin hits multiple price levels, multiple options can resolve YES.
• Options will resolve to YES immediately when their price level is reached, rather than waiting for the final resolution date.
Additional Notes:
• The price must be recorded as the high/low of any day, even if briefly achieved.
• Price figures are rounded to the nearest full dollar (e.g., $199,999.50 rounds up to $200,000).
• If Coinbase data becomes unavailable or unreliable, alternative credible sources such as Kraken, Binance, or Coingecko will be used for verification.
• If multiple sources are used, the consensus price will determine the outcome.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,492 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,100 | |
| 3 | Ṁ761 | |
| 4 | Ṁ497 | |
| 5 | Ṁ339 |
The primary resolution source will be Coinbase (https://www.coinbase.com), using the daily high/low price for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
I doubt any of the remaining ones will get hit, but given that we now know those daily high/low levels are based on UTC timezone, and the deadline here is at PT, I think it's best to use the hourly high/lows. Same with any other similar markets.
@predyx_markets I hadn't noticed the title change from 'by' to 'before'. I believe that's incorrect, and should be changed to 'by' or perhaps 'before the end of March' or 'before April' if you feel 'by' could be ambiguous.
@predyx_markets thanks, and this one! https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-dips-below-80k-in-q1
@brod Yeah, love the rollercoaster ride, its actually thrilling. I've been in Bitcoin since '14, for me this just so normal. I'm sure a lot of recent investors are panicking.
@predyx_markets fix in description "at any point from market creation to the end of [March] 2025"