GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Question

Minor changes to the name, such as 'GPT 6.1', or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6, will count for the purpose of this market.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

@8AyI5Np5yl

@OchSUnInIq

@cgl2IP0yIC (this market)

@LU5RqqqEuA

@2OzL6Q56y8

@IZO2UZgUNO

@2CqdhIO9cU

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before October 2026 and Before September 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (226 traders, as of Aug 11, 2026).