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MANIFOLD
Will SpaceX be more valuable than Tesla by the end of 2025
23
Ṁ1kṀ12k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

If they both are public companies, the market will resolve to YES if SpaceX has a higher market cap and NO if Tesla has a higher market cap. If either is private, it will resolve based on secondary prices. If both are bankrupt, market resolves to n/a

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@pranav
Tesla Mkt cap 1.42tn
SpaceX's latest valuation is approximately $800 billion, established through a year-end insider tender offer in December 2025,
Resolve please

Got close, SpaceX raising at $800 billion. IPO in 2026. That will get interesting. SpaceX after IPO $2 trillion. How much Tesla robotaxi?

predictedNO

SpaceX current valuation is 137 billion. Tesla’s is 354 billion. I would guess the base rate of two companies with those valuations flipping over a 3-year period is pretty low.

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