Prediction Market Research

Hi all. I work on a team that builds tools related to prediction markets, and we are doing product research to better understand how people create and manage markets specifically on Manifold.
This is not about recruiting users or promoting another platform. The goal is to learn from experienced market creators about how market creation and resolution works in practice today.
I am especially interested in hearing about:

How you decide what to create
What feels smooth vs frustrating in the creation and resolution flow
What tools or workflows you rely on alongside Manifold

Details:

About a 30 minute informal one on one call
No prep required
50 USDC as a thank you for your time

If you have created markets on Manifold and are open to chatting, please comment here. Happy to answer questions publicly.

I don't want to commit to a 30 min call, but I'm curious about what information you're trying to gain here and if there's anything I can say that would help,

To directly answer your stated questions:
- I create markets mainly to get the once-a-week bonus, and occasionally because I have a real question that I'd like some extra eyes on.
- The number of question types feels strange to me. There's a lot of bells and whistles. It took me a long time to figure out how to (and remember that I can) edit resolution time & initial percentage on market creation. But it's really nice that most things are editable after the fact so it's generally recoverable! Even the initial percentage is fixable if you bet on your own market (reduces the liquidity for everyone else, so you get less-good answers, but you can pump in more liquidity after as a followup).
- I don't use other tools, just manifold, for market creation. If you want to talk about betting, I have lots of tools.

And, my 2 cents:
- I think there's a lot more potential for people in general to make personal markets like mine, or bayesian's, or ones about "will my plane be on time", than is currently being used. I think we've tapped the "will I finish my chores" segment, but not the "can you tell me the answer to this complicated question relevant to my life" segment. This feels like it could overlap well for businesses - eg, will demand for X exceed Y in this quarter; will my company have Z% of market share, will poll done on date ___ say people recognize my brand, ... On a different note, I don't think the culture has really tapped into policy markets, which I saw suggested in one of Yudkowksy's books (these are markets where you can bet on a set of policies, like "good outcome if I follow policy1, good outcome if I follow policy2, ..." and most of them will resolve to NA, but the one for the policy that the market creator chooses to actually follow resolves based on the actual outcome. Have to make sure there's a chance you pick the not-best-policy to keep the odds grounded. Takes a lot of liquidity to get good answers.)

Also, what are you & team trying to build? I think you stand to gain more by drumming up excitement than risking sharing info with a competitor, but I'll let you make that call.